Find out the biggest risks in retirement including inflation, health care costs, and overspending. Learn ways to prepare for your retirement future with Vanguard.

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Retirement risks and how to manage them

Retirement risks and how to manage them
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What are retirement risks?

Retirement risks are events, choices, or economic factors that can threaten your retirement savings or income—like experiencing a market downturn, receiving unexpected bills, or outliving your assets. They're the "what-ifs" that can disrupt even the most carefully planned retirement. Whether you're early in your retirement planning journey, a few years from retiring, or already living on a fixed income—understanding these risks can make a big difference in how prepared you are to handle them. For pre-retirees, being prepared means having time to adjust savings, investments, or retirement timing. For those already retired, it's about protecting what you've built and ensuring your money lasts as long as you need it. The sooner you recognize potential challenges, the better equipped you'll be to manage them with confidence.


Build your future with confidence

The biggest risks in retirement

Understanding the biggest risks in retirement is a vital step in building a resilient financial plan.

In this article, we'll explore 6 key risks:

  • Outliving your retirement savings
  • Experiencing market volatility
  • Losing purchasing power due to inflation
  • Facing rising health care and long-term care costs
  • Confronting tax and policy changes.
  • Navigating behavioral and lifestyle risks

By recognizing these factors early, you can take proactive steps to protect your retirement income and gain greater peace of mind.

Outliving your retirement savings

The risk of outliving your retirement savings—also known as longevity risk—has become one of the biggest concerns for retirees. As people live longer, even a well-funded nest egg can be depleted if not managed wisely.

To help ensure your money lasts as long as you do, consider these key strategies:

  • Explore annuities. They can provide a steady income stream for life, helping protect against the risk of outliving your assets. Some annuities also offer riders that guarantee a minimum payout, adding an extra layer of security.
  • Consider delaying Social Security benefits. Waiting until full retirement age or beyond can help to extend your lifelong income and enhance your financial stability in later years. That's because the longer you wait to start collecting, the bigger your benefit will be. You can learn more through our resources on the fundamentals of social security and maximizing social security benefits.

You can explore more insights into the longevity of your retirement savings.

Working with a financial advisor can provide you with a sustainable drawdown strategy for your savings and help you decide whether annuitizing—converting a portion of your portfolio into an income stream—makes sense for your situation.

Market volatility and retirement account risks

Market volatility—simply put, the ups and downs of investment returns—can pose significant risks to retirement accounts, especially when downturns occur just before or during retirement. A sharp market decline at the wrong time can shrink your savings quickly, and if you're withdrawing funds to live on, it may force you to sell investments at a loss, making it harder for your portfolio to recover.

To help manage this risk:

  • Maintain a diversified portfolio, spreading your investments across different types of assets—like stocks, bonds, and cash. This means you're not relying too heavily on any one type. Your asset mix should match your goals, how long you plan to spend in retirement, and how much market fluctuation you're comfortable with. For money you'll spend in retirement, a more conservative mix of investments may help cushion the impact of market swings. Pairing this with a systematic withdrawal strategy can further support long-term stability.
  • Hold a variety of retirement account types, including tax-deferred and Roth accounts. Taxable accounts can also be helpful for savings. This can give you tax flexibility over the course of your saving and retirement journey.

For more insights, explore our resource on navigating market volatility with confidence.

A Vanguard financial advisor can customize a financial plan for your specific needs and goals, and make sure your portfolio is prepared for all kinds of future market conditions.

Inflation and retirement savings risks

Inflation is the gradual increase in prices over time, which means each dollar you have buys a little less than it did before. This erosion of purchasing power is one of the most significant retirement savings risks you may face. If you're nearing or in retirement, even moderate inflation can take a toll: for example, $100,000 today would have the spending power of about $67,000 in 20 years with a steady 2% annual inflation rate. That's why it's important to understand inflation and how it can affect your investments.

Since retirees often rely on fixed income sources, rising costs for essentials like food, housing, and health care can strain their budgets. To help protect against this, consider investments that have historically kept pace with or outpaced inflation, such as stocks, real estate, or Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), which adjust their value based on inflation changes.

Maintaining a diversified portfolio that includes these assets can improve your resilience over time.

Health care and long-term care costs

As life expectancy continues to rise, so does the financial challenge of funding health care throughout retirement. Living longer means you'll likely need more savings—not just for daily living, but especially to cover the growing possibility of needing long-term care. For early retirees, there's an added concern: a potential gap of several years before becoming eligible for Medicare at age 65.  You can plan ahead to bridge this gap with options like private insurance, COBRA, or a plan through the health insurance marketplace.

Once you qualify for it, Medicare helps, but it doesn't cover everything. Many retirees are surprised to learn that services like dental care, vision, and hearing aids, for example, are either limited or excluded. Consider these typical health care expenses in retirement:

  • Premiums for Medicare Parts B and D, and supplemental (Medigap) plans.
  • Out-of-pocket costs such as deductibles, copays, and non-covered services.
  • Prescription drugs not fully covered by insurance.
  • Dental, vision, and hearing care.
  • Long-term care. Whether in-home assistance or facility-based care, nearly 70% of people turning 65 today will need some form of long-term care in their lifetime.

To prepare, consider contributing to a health savings account (HSA) if you're eligible. These offer triple tax advantages and can be used for qualified medical expenses in retirement. Long-term care insurance is another tool that can help protect your savings from the high cost of extended care.

For more information, explore our detailed guide on how much retirement health care costs.

A Vanguard financial advisor can help you get a personalized estimate of your future health expenses and guide you in selecting the Medicare plan that best fits your needs.

Tax and policy risk

Aside from market conditions, there are changes in laws and regulations such as changes in rules governing health coverage, retirement savings or benefits, or estate planning that can affect your financial planning.

Strategic planning for uncertainty means maintaining flexibility—so decisions can be adjusted as laws, rules, and personal circumstances change. In the meantime, focus on what you can control: maintaining a disciplined, long-term strategy aligned with your goals.

Behavioral and lifestyle risks

Unexpected events such as job loss, divorce, or a family emergency can have a significant financial impact, especially in or near retirement. To prepare, it's important to build flexibility into your spending plan and consider additional insurance coverage, such as disability or umbrella policies, to help absorb these shocks.

A financial advisor can help by applying a dynamic spending approach to your retirement plan— adjusting how much you withdraw each year based on your current needs and how your investments are doing, so you can stay flexible and avoid running out of money.


Explore Vanguard's comprehensive retirement savings hub

How to manage risk and your retirement investments

While retirement risks can feel overwhelming, the good news is that many of them are manageable—especially when you focus on what's within your control. Instead of reacting to market swings or policy changes, concentrate on building a resilient financial plan grounded in proven strategies.

Applying Vanguard's 4 principles for investing success can help you manage risk:

  • Creating clear, appropriate goals helps you define how much income you'll need and when, providing a roadmap for sustainable withdrawals. 
  • Maintaining a balanced and diversified mix of investments reduces exposure to any single market shock and smooths portfolio volatility over time. 
  • Minimizing costs—including expense ratios and taxes—helps preserve more of your savings, which is especially critical when you're no longer contributing and every dollar counts.
  • Maintaining perspective and long-term discipline keeps you focused on your plan during market downturns, avoiding emotional decisions that could jeopardize your financial security.

Together, these principles form a comprehensive strategy for navigating retirement with greater confidence.

It's also important to build flexibility into your budget to account for unexpected expenses, whether a major home repair or a family emergency. Having insurance and a dynamic spending approach can help absorb financial shocks, and using a disciplined withdrawal strategy can help your money last throughout retirement.

A financial advisor can be invaluable here, helping you implement tax-efficient strategies, rebalance over time, and adjust your plan as life evolves—so you stay on track with confidence.

What are some lower-risk retirement strategies?

Many retirees and those nearing retirement are looking for ways to protect their savings while generating reliable income. They may opt for lower-risk retirement investment options—those that prioritize capital preservation and predictable returns over high growth. These strategies can be especially appealing to pre- and current retirees who can't afford to lose savings late in life.

However, it's important to recognize that "lower-risk" is relative and each strategy comes with its own trade-offs. Some are designed primarily to reduce market fluctuations and provide steady income, while others aim to offer more growth potential over time. This can help to address longevity and inflation risks—important considerations since retirement could last 30 years or more.

Below are some of the most common retirement investment strategies, along with their benefits and trade-offs:

Bonds (such as U.S. Treasury, municipal, or high-quality corporate bonds)

Pros:

  • Provide regular interest payments and return of principal at maturity.
  • Generally less volatile than stocks.
  • High-quality bonds are likely to be paid on time; they’re typically issued by stable corporations or in the case of Treasuries and some agency bonds, are backed by the U.S. government.

Cons:

  • Lower long-term returns compared with stocks.
  • Vulnerable to inflation and rising interest rates.
  • Credit risk, especially with lower-rated corporate bonds.

For more on this, explore our guide on what is a bond and how bonds can strengthen your portfolio.

 

Annuities (especially fixed or indexed annuities)

Pros:

  • Can guarantee lifetime income, helping prevent outliving savings.
  • Fixed annuities offer predictable returns with principal protection.
  • Some include inflation or death benefit riders.

Cons:

  • Fees and surrender charges can be high.
  • Less liquidity—accessing funds early may trigger penalties.
  • Complexity—terms vary widely between providers.

 

Certificates of deposit (CDs)

Pros:

  • FDIC-insured up to $250,000 per depositor per bank, making them quite safe.
  • Fixed interest rate for a set term.
  • Predictable returns with no market risk.

Cons:

  • Limited liquidity—early withdrawal penalties could apply.
  • Rates often lag behind inflation.
  • Low returns compared to other income-generating assets.

 

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS)

Pros:

  • Principal adjusts with inflation, helping preserve purchasing power.
  • Backed by the U.S. government.
  • Ideal for protecting against one of retirement's biggest risks.

Cons:

  • Lower yields compared with traditional bonds.
  • Can lose value if deflation occurs.
  • Interest payments vary with inflation adjustments.

 

Balanced Funds (such as target-date or 60/40 stock-bond funds)

Pros:

  • Automatically diversified across stocks—which can help you keep pace with inflation—as well as bonds.
  • Professionally managed mix.
  • Target-date funds gradually shift to more conservative allocations.

Cons:

  • Exposure to higher market risk due to equity holdings.
  • May not be tailored to individual risk tolerance.
  • Expense ratios vary by fund.

While lower-risk strategies offer greater stability, they often come with lower long-term returns—highlighting the key trade-off of safety versus growth. For retirees, preserving capital and generating dependable income often takes priority over aggressive growth. However, it's important to strike a balance—being too conservative may protect against market volatility but can increase vulnerability to inflation, which over time can significantly erode purchasing power.

Combining several of these strategies can help balance security, income, and inflation protection in a way that supports a confident retirement.

For illustrative purposes only. Actual client experiences may vary.

Prevent retirement risks with Vanguard

You don't have to navigate the landscape of retirement risks alone. At Vanguard, a financial advisor can help you build a personalized plan tailored to your goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance. They'll run your portfolio through 10,000 hypothetical market scenarios to help ensure that it's designed to be resilient in good times and bad. An advisor can also offer expert guidance when financial markets are turbulent.

Whether it's applying a dynamic spending strategy for flexibility, preparing for tax and policy changes, or adjusting your plan as life evolves, your advisor is there to help you stay confident and in control—so you can focus on enjoying the retirement you've worked for.


Ready to boost your retirement savings? Open an account or add to your existing Vanguard account.

Frequently asked questions about retirement risks

While bonds can provide stability and income in retirement, moving all your investments into bonds may not be the best strategy. Doing so could limit your growth potential and make it harder to keep up with inflation over time. Instead, a balanced mix of stocks and bonds—aligned with your goals and risk tolerance—can help manage volatility while supporting long-term income needs.

Health care costs in retirement vary based on factors like your health status, Medicare choices, retirement age, and location. If you retire before 65, you'll also need to budget for coverage until Medicare begins.

An annuity isn't the right choice for every retiree—it depends on your financial goals, health, and income needs. While annuities can provide guaranteed lifetime income and help protect against outliving your savings, they may involve fees, complexity, and reduced liquidity. It's best to consider an annuity as one part of a broader retirement strategy, and to consult a financial advisor to determine if it aligns with your personal situation.

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All investing is subject to risk, including the possible loss of the money you invest. Diversification does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss. There is no guarantee that any particular asset allocation or mix of funds will meet your investment objectives or provide you with a given level of income.

Bond funds are subject to interest rate risk, which is the chance bond prices overall will decline because of rising interest rates, and credit risk, which is the chance a bond issuer will fail to pay interest and principal in a timely manner or that negative perceptions of the issuer's ability to make such payments will cause the price of that bond to decline.

While U.S. Treasury or government agency securities provide substantial protection against credit risk, they do not protect investors against price changes due to changing interest rates. Unlike stocks and bonds, U.S. Treasury bills are guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest.

Investments in target-date funds are subject to the risks of their underlying funds. The year in the fund name refers to the approximate year (the target date) when an investor in the fund would retire and leave the workforce. The fund will gradually shift its emphasis from more aggressive investments to more conservative ones based on its target date. An investment in target-date funds is not guaranteed at any time, including on or after the target date. 

All annuities are subject to risk, including the possible loss of the money you invest. Investments in bond portfolios are subject to interest rate, credit, and inflation risk.

Vanguard's advice services are provided by Vanguard Advisers, Inc. ("VAI"), a registered investment advisor, or by Vanguard National Trust Company ("VNTC"), a federally chartered, limited-purpose trust company.

The services provided to clients will vary based upon the service selected, including management, fees, eligibility, and access to an advisor. Find VAI's Form CRS and each program's advisory brochure here for an overview.

VAI and VNTC are subsidiaries of The Vanguard Group, Inc., and affiliates of Vanguard Marketing Corporation. Neither VAI, VNTC, nor its affiliates guarantee profits or protection from losses.

We recommend that you consult a tax or financial advisor about your individual situation.