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Personal finance

Understanding income volatility and emergency savings

6 minute read   •   August 15, 2025
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What is income volatility in simple terms?

Income volatility refers to unpredictable fluctuations in earnings that can make budgeting and planning ahead more complicated.

While income volatility can be caused by a hardship, like losing a job, it can also be a regular part of life for many people whose earnings fluctuate because of the nature of their work. For example, entrepreneurs, real estate agents, and gig economy workers, like rideshare drivers and freelancers, often experience income volatility.

A salesperson working on a commission-based pay structure might see less income during a slow month compared to a busy one. Other reasons for income volatility include leaves of absence for maternity, caretaking, or travel. There's no one-size-fits-all approach to handling income volatility, but smart planning can significantly increase your chances of financial success.

The impact of income volatility on financial stability

Income volatility can reduce financial flexibility, making it difficult to pay for big-ticket items like a child's education or plan for special events like vacations. But it isn't just a financial strain—it's also a mental one. And financial concerns can amplify stress during an already anxiety-inducing event, such as a medical leave or job loss.

Income volatility can also make managing everyday cash flow more challenging. For example, a salesperson at a department store working at an hourly rate might see less income during a slow shopping month compared to a busy one. During the slow month, their paycheck may not be enough to cover basic expenses, and they might use their credit card to cover their bills. In the following month when they receive a larger paycheck, they may use some of it to pay down their debt or make larger purchases. This can create a downward spiral where spending becomes larger than earnings, leaving them in a precarious financial position.

In this cycle of spending and income mismatch, many may choose to cash out their 401(k) when they leave their job. In fact, among participants in Vanguard-administered 401(k) plans, we find that hourly workers—a group that tends to see more unstable income than salaried workers—are twice as likely to cash out their 401(k)s when leaving an employer. But cashing out a 401(k) not only incurs penalties and taxes but also reduces your retirement savings, potentially leaving you with less financial security in the future.

Under already stressful financial circumstances, planning can feel even more complex and overwhelming. But while some jobs with volatile income offer more flexibility, proactive budgeting, saving, and investing can help you keep your freedom.

Managing income volatility

Just like you plan for retirement, you can plan for income volatility. Building a sufficient emergency fund is important for everyone, but especially crucial for those with income fluctuations. This cash buffer can be what helps you stay afloat and take advantage of opportunities.

It's important to construct a financial plan around your specific situation. Start by examining your spending needs and any income fluctuation both during a job and between jobs. Your spending needs establish your baseline. In months when income is higher than that baseline, set aside money to build your emergency fund. Contributing more during high-earning periods means you have savings to lean on and don’t need to rely too much on credit during low-earning ones.

Understanding the economic climate and its impact on your industry can help you anticipate income fluctuations. If the industry you work in is sensitive to economic downturns, having a larger cash buffer can provide extra stability. The goal is to balance short-term cash flow needs with long-term financial health, ensuring you can weather economic changes without compromising your investments, retirement, and future.

The general rule of thumb on the size of an emergency fund is 3–6 months of expenses. While this is the usual range, you'll want to consider your personal situation. Keep in mind that the more you keep in your savings, the less money you'll have for longer-term investment options like stocks and ETFs (exchange-traded funds).

Income variability is one of the most important factors in determining your emergency fund needs. See the table below for additional considerations when determining the appropriate amount to save.1

 

Factor More liquidity needs Less liquidity needs
Income variability More Less
Income Single Dual
Dependents Yes No
Spending flexibility Low High
Job security Less More
Job skills Highly specialized Generalized
Insurance Less More
Alternative financing Low borrowing ability Alternatives available
Portfolio composition Exposed to market risks Cash

Importance of emergency savings

You can think of your emergency savings as cash you use to cover debts and gaps in income, but it can also serve as the cash you use to seize opportunities. That may mean going on an international trip, taking a class, or pursuing a creative endeavor. Having an emergency fund also improves financial behavior and overall wellness.

In fact, having just $2,000 of savings set aside can increase financial well-being by 21% and decrease time spent thinking about finances by about 4 hours per week—that means more energy to focus on increasing your income or simply enjoying your life.2

If the primary goal for a sum of money is long-term growth, for most investors it should be in stocks and bonds. However, since you need an emergency fund, it makes sense to also give that money the chance to grow by putting it in a savings vehicle that earns more than a zero-interest checking account or low-interest traditional savings account. Many high-yield savings options allow you to tap into your cash when you need it and give it the opportunity to grow in the meantime.

Though you may need a higher cash buffer than those with a more stable income, you can still benefit from competitive yields by choosing the right savings option.

Choosing a savings vehicle

Your emergency fund should be liquid and easily accessible, giving you peace of mind and flexibility to handle expenses during income lulls. You also want to make sure you're making the most out of your savings by balancing functionality with yields. Here are some options and their considerations:

Certificate of deposit (CD)

  • Generally offers competitive yields with higher yields for a longer lock-up period—the time during which your money is inaccessible
  • Liquidity is often low due to the lock-up period
  • Best for when you know you don’t need your money for a while

High-yield savings account (HYSA)

  • Yields are usually higher than a traditional savings account
  • Designed to be liquid, with it often taking as little as 1–3 days to withdraw funds
  • Can be good for both short-term and long-term savings, especially for unexpected expenses

Cash management account (CMA)

  • Offers competitive yields
  • Designed to be liquid, with CMAs such as the Vanguard Cash Plus Account offering features like a routing and account number for enhanced money movement
  • Good for emergency savings and unplanned expenses

Money market fund (MMF)

  • Yields are competitive, but can be dependent on the market
  • Generally offer high liquidity
  • May be appropriate for short-term savings and managing unplanned expenses 

Steps to save for both the short and long term

Fluctuating income doesn't have to mean unstable finances—but it takes some planning. Here are some key steps:

  1. Assess your financial situation: Take time to understand the patterns of your income fluctuations. Factors may include your industry, your tenure, and your personal needs for flexibility and freedom.
  2. Eliminate high-cost debt: Prioritize paying off high-interest debts, such as credit card balances, to reduce financial stress.
  3. Create a budget: Track your income and expenses to identify areas where you can cut back and save more.
  4. Build your emergency fund: Add to your emergency fund expenses in a high-yield cash investment option like a MMF, CD, HYSA, or cash management account such as the Vanguard Cash Plus Account.
  5. Invest: Building your savings doesn't mean ignoring investments—they should work together. Your retirement depends on your contributions today. And eventually, your investments could even serve as an additional income stream. Build your investments around your financial goals for long-term success.
  6. Enjoy your flexibility: Creating a financial plan gives you freedom. Use your savings to spend time with your children, care for a parent, or explore your passions. Better planning means more choices.

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The Vanguard Cash Plus Account is a brokerage account offered by Vanguard Brokerage Services, a division of Vanguard Marketing Corporation, member FINRA and SIPC. Under the Sweep Program, Eligible Balances swept to Program Banks are not securities: They are not covered by SIPC, but are eligible for FDIC insurance, subject to applicable limits. Money market funds held in the account are not guaranteed or insured by the FDIC but are securities eligible for SIPC coverage. See the Vanguard Bank Sweep Products Terms of Use (PDF) and Program Bank list (PDF) for more information.

Bank savings accounts offer different services and features than a Vanguard Cash Plus Account. For example, savings accounts often offer features like overdraft protection, ATM access, bill pay services and other conveniences that Cash Plus Accounts do not offer. Cash Plus Accounts allow you to hold certain securities that bank savings accounts cannot hold. In addition, Cash Plus Accounts are subject to fraud prevention restrictions such as holding periods and transaction limits, which may not apply to a bank savings account. There may be other differences between these products that you may want to consider before choosing which option is best for you. CDs are guaranteed (within limits) as to principal and interest by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, which is an agency of the federal government.